Al-aalem Al-jadeed

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With Pezeshkian’s victory.. Will the Iraqi-Iranian relations change

Iran concluded its elections with the victory of the “reformist” Masoud Pezeshkian, after defeating his “conservative” competitor, Saeed Jalili, in the second round. In reading the change that will occur in the Iranian political system after the reformists reach Iranian power again, an observer of political affairs in Iran believes that its policy will not change, since it’s linked to the Supreme Leader, but Iraqi observers confirm that there will be change towards Iraq, especially in the file of armed factions.
Iranian political analyst Hussein Al-Dirani said, during an interview with Al Aalem Al Jadeed, “Iranian-Iraqi relations, after the election of the new president, Masoud Pezeshkian, from the reformist movement, will not change one iota, as the new president will complete the project of the late president, Ibrahim Raisi, in strengthening relations with neighboring countries.”
Al-Dirani adds, “Iraq has special importance for Iran, and has strategic political relations due to its geographical location in the Arab and Islamic region,” noting, “As for the issue of supporting resistance factions, it is a fixed approach that does not change with a change in the president for Iran, regardless of his political affiliation, and here we mention the declaration of victory over the ISIS terrorist state occurred during the time of President Rouhani, who belongs to the reformist movement. Supporting the resistance is a text in the constitution, and any president cannot act contrary to the constitution.”
According to the spokesman for the Election Commission in Iran, Mohsen Islami, Masoud Pazeshkian received 16,384,403 votes, while Saeed Jalili received 13,538,179 votes, after counting 30,530,157 votes from polling stations in the country and abroad, where the participation rate in the second round of the presidential elections reached 49.8 percent, according to the Iranian News Agency, IRNA.
The first round of the presidential elections took place on June 28, between the four candidates, Saeed Jalili, Masoud Pezeshkian, Mohammad Baqir Ghalibaf, and Mostafa Pourmohammadi. None of them was able to win an absolute majority, which necessitated a second round between the two candidates with the highest number of votes, whom are Bazashkian and Jalili.
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian, the governor of East Azerbaijan Province, Malek Rahmati, the head of the President’s Protection Unit, Sardar Seyyed Mehdi Mousavi, and a force from the Ansar al-Mahdi Corps, in addition to a pilot and his assistant, were killed when the helicopter they were traveling in crashed on the evening of the 19th. Last May, northwest Iran.
Ibrahim Raisi is considered the eighth president of Iran. He was elected in 2021 to succeed President Hassan Rouhani. Raisi held several positions in the judicial institution before becoming its president. He forged strong relations with the Iranian guide, Ali Khamenei, who chose him in 2016 as responsible for the Astan Quds Razavi Foundation, and it is a religious endowment institution with a budget estimated at billions of dollars, owns more than 30 companies, factories and mines, and has multiple and diverse economic arms.
In addition, political analyst Ghaleb Al-Daami explained, during an interview with Al Aalem Al Jadeed, that “the Iranian point of view towards Iraq will not witness any change as long as the current regime exists, as the President of the Republic in Iran is not the final decision-maker, but rather the decision is in the hands of the leader, he is the one who draws up policies, and the rest listen, obey, and implement.”
Al-Daami confirms, “The Iraq issue will remain unless new understandings occur within the new Middle East, in which Iran will have a new role, either distancing it or giving it some benefits. Perhaps Tehran will lose some of its positions globally at the level of Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine as well.”
He points out that “the next scene will be thorny, but Iranian policy towards Iraq will be constant and will not change because Baghdad is considered a fertile productive garden that supports the Iranian government.”
It is noteworthy that many Iraqi Shiite and Kurdish political parties and movements have had close relations with Iran since the era of the previous Iraqi regime in what was then known as the “opposition,” many of whose leaders resided in Iran. After the year 2003, most of the Iraqi armed factions were linked to Tehran, which supplied them. With weapons, money, training and logistical support.
For his part, political analyst Atheer Al-Sharaa explained, during an interview with Al Aalem Al Jadeed, that “the region will witness pivotal changes in terms of security, economy, political character, and the recent Iranian elections that resulted in the victory of the reformist Pezeshkian, which will result in new changes occurring in the republic’s policy with America and regional countries.”
Al-Sharaa points out, “Iran wants to change some relations with countries, and when it chose the interest of defining the only reformist constitution, along with a number of conservatives, this indicates the existence of a new vision that will emerge in Iran’s foreign policy.”
He explains, “We will witness a change in Iran’s policy with some but not all of the Iraqi factions, especially those that did not follow Iran’s policies during previous periods, and President Pezeshkian’s victory was not a coincidence. Rather, there was prior planning for it. We will also witness changes in Iranian relations with the countries of the region,” adding “There are many issues awaiting the region, as well as the relationship with America, the nuclear file, and the relationship with the Iraqi parties and factions.”
It is noteworthy that Iran had previously announced its lack of connection with the Iraqi factions, through its representatives in the United Nations, and categorically denied any connection with them, unlike the Lebanese Hezbollah, which is considered the most prominent arm of Iran in the Arab region.
Iran is divided internally, between the intelligence service “Iranian Intelligence” and the Revolutionary Guard, and the first wing represents the conservatives, to whom the new president belongs, while the former president was close to the Revolutionary Guard, which is the body to which most Iraqi armed factions are linked.

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